헤즈볼라, 美 중재 휴전 '굴욕적 항복' 규정 즉각 거부… 이스라엘

Lebanese President Joseph Aoun stated that implementation could begin within 24 hours if Hezbollah agreed to the terms, framing the deal as a final diplomatic opportunity .

Hezbollah's Immediate and Emphatic Rejection

Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem issued a swift and scathing rejection on June 4, calling the agreement "absurd, humiliating and insulting" and equating it to "surrender, defeat and achieving the enemy’s goals" . Hezbollah is not a formal party to the direct government-level talks between Israel and Lebanon, and it had previously declared it would not be bound by any resulting agreements .

The group’s counter-demands laid bare the fundamental incompatibility with the Washington framework:

• A comprehensive and unconditional ceasefire, not one contingent on its own withdrawal .
• A full and immediate Israeli military withdrawal from all of southern Lebanon. The proposed deal effectively allowed Israel to maintain its occupied buffer zone, a condition Hezbollah deemed unacceptable .
• An outright refusal to disarm or withdraw from the south as a precondition for a truce .

Divergent National Positions: A 'Last Chance' vs. 'No Withdrawal'

Lebanese President Joseph Aoun took a starkly pragmatic public stance, describing the Washington framework as the "last chance to enter into a final, comprehensive ceasefire." He warned that each party bore responsibility if they failed to respond positively, highlighting the Lebanese government's precarious position of negotiating on behalf of a nation where it does not hold a monopoly on military force .

In contrast, Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz stated unequivocally that Israel "will continue to strike Lebanon for the time being and will not be withdrawing from the south." He clarified that the military's offensive in southern Lebanon was "ongoing" and that any ceasefire would only materialize after Hezbollah physically withdrew, not before . The IDF Chief of Staff echoed this, declaring no ceasefire was in effect . These parallel statements meant the diplomatic breakthrough in Washington had no practical impact on the ground.

Continued Violence: UN Peacekeeper Killed, Fresh Strikes in Beirut

The diplomatic failure was punctuated by deadly violence. In the early hours of June 4, mortar fire struck a UNIFIL position near Marjayoun in southeast Lebanon, killing Serbian Staff Sergeant Milovan Jovanovic and wounding two other peacekeepers, including two Spanish soldiers who were slightly injured in a separate incident . His death brought the number of UNIFIL peacekeepers killed since the conflict escalated in March to seven .

Despite the truce announcement, Israel carried out fresh strikes in Lebanon and again threatened Beirut on June 4, with reports indicating operations were both expanding in the south and targeting Hezbollah-dominated areas of the capital . The combination of a dead peacekeeper, ongoing air strikes, and a "last chance" warning from the Lebanese president created a deeply pessimistic picture of the diplomatic process.

Iran's Shadow and the Threat of a Wider War

Iran positioned itself as a central and potentially escalatory player. Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi issued a direct warning that any Israeli attack on Beirut would trigger a "full-scale resumption" of the Middle East war, stating that Iranian armed forces were ready to strike Israel .

Araghchi further claimed that a US-Iran "war-end accord" was being finalized, and that any such accord must include a guaranteed ceasefire on all fronts, including Lebanon . He insisted the fates of the wars in Iran and Lebanon were "intertwined since day one" . The Institute for the Study of War assessed that Iran and Hezbollah were actively trying to transform US-Iran negotiations into broader talks aimed at ending the war in Lebanon on terms favorable to them .

What’s Next: Skepticism and a June 22 Deadline

With Hezbollah’s rejection and Israel’s refusal to halt operations, the Washington-brokered ceasefire was widely characterized as "minimalist" and collapsed within hours . Skepticism was rampant among Lebanese civilians who viewed the deal as disconnected from the reality of occupation and Hezbollah’s power on the ground .

Further talks are tentatively scheduled for the week of June 22 in Washington for a fifth round, but it remains profoundly unclear whether the diplomatic track can survive this rejection and the continuing violence on the ground .