A June 25 attack by Ukrainian forces targeted 38 sites across Crimea, including energy and oil infrastructure . By June 23, approximately half of the peninsula had lost electricity, according to Russian proxy authorities
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Ukraine's mid-range drone units turned the R-280 highway — Russia's last reliable overland route connecting Rostov-on-Don to Crimea via occupied Donetsk and Kherson regions — into what Russian soldiers now call the "road of death" [3, 10].
Key metrics and developments:
Since late May, civilian traffic on the R-280 has been nearly entirely prohibited, a decree signed by Vladimir Saldo, Russia's appointed "governor" of occupied Kherson region .
Panic spread among residents and Russian military personnel. On June 21, following a drone attack on an oil depot near the Kerch Bridge that blocked traffic for hours, more than 700 vehicles were recorded trying to leave Crimea via the bridge . Ukrainian officials stated that Russian officers are already evacuating their families and belongings from the peninsula
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Refat Chubarov, chairman of the Crimean Tatar Mejlis, urged Russians who settled in Crimea after 2014 to leave while the bridge is still operational: "We insist that these people must leave Crimea now, while there is still such an opportunity" .
Earlier reports from 2022-2024 documented periodic waves of Russian civilians fleeing Crimea following attacks on the Kerch Bridge [37, 38, 39, 40, 41], but the June 2026 exodus was the largest since the start of the full-scale invasion.
On June 25, 2026, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy reported that Ukraine's Foreign Intelligence Service had obtained internal documents of the Russian occupation administration showing a "virtually daily deepening of the crisis with fuel, military logistics, and management in Crimea" [18, 24, 27]. Zelenskyy stated that the documents confirm the occupation authorities "cannot cope" with the accelerating fuel and logistics collapse [18, 27]. The intercepted materials explicitly acknowledge that the disruptions caused by Ukrainian medium-range actions and long-range operations against Russian oil refineries are unfixable .
This aligns with earlier ISW assessments from June 4 that Russian occupation officials were already struggling to address fuel shortages .
Zelenskyy also announced a broader 40-day offensive campaign to "influence the aggressor state" and push for an end to the war . He described Ukraine's Crimea operation as "carefully calculated," adding that the right help from Western partners would let Kyiv quickly force Russia toward peace
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Ukraine's campaign extends beyond the R-280 and fuel depots. Since April 2026, Kyiv has systematically targeted:
The commander of Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces described the campaign as a "logistics lockdown" designed to create a "psych-breaking point for Moscow" . Zelenskyy stated on June 1 that Ukrainian forces "are now capable of reaching Russian military logistics across virtually the entire depth of the temporarily occupied territories" and that "there are almost no safe roads left for the occupier in the south and east of our country"
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