The United States provided a bright spot. Sales in the US recovered for a third consecutive month with a double-digit percentage increase . Volvo Car USA's Q2 2026 report showed total US sales of 34,228 vehicles in the quarter
. The company expects this recovery to continue in the second half of the year as the negative effects from the withdrawal of incentives on electrified cars lessen
.
Europe, Volvo's largest region by sales, delivered "steady with moderate growth" . The company noted it was "maintaining pricing discipline in Europe and ha[d] seen a sustained increase in retail orders for our fully electric cars"
. In Q2 2026, battery-electric vehicle sales across Europe, including Turkey, climbed 23% year-on-year
.
Volvo's electrification push continued to gain momentum. Sales of electrified models—fully electric (BEV) and plug-in hybrid (PHEV) combined—rose 15% year-on-year to 87,464 vehicles, accounting for 53% of total volume . This compares with 48% in the March–May 2026 period and 47.3% in Q1 2026
.
| Powertrain | May–July 2026 Sales | YoY Change | Share of Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total electrified (BEV + PHEV) | 87,464 | +15% | 53% |
| Fully electric (BEV) | ~44,459 (est.) | +21% | 27% |
| Plug-in hybrid (PHEV) | ~43,005 (est.) | +9% | 26% |
| Mild hybrid & ICE only | 77,199 | –19% | 47% |
Fully electric sales climbed 21% year-on-year and represented 27% of total sales, up from 23% in the March–May period . Plug-in hybrid sales rose 9%
. This marks the ninth consecutive month of global BEV growth for Volvo, driven by strong demand for the EX30 and EX40 electric SUVs
. In Q2 2026 as a whole, fully electric cars reached 52% of all deliveries—the first EV-majority quarter in Volvo's history
.
Mild hybrid and internal-combustion-only models fell 19% year-on-year, reflecting the accelerating shift in Volvo's product mix .
Analyst ratings on Volvo Cars (VOLCARb.ST) showed significant divergence in the weeks following the report. Four major banks issued updates between July 20 and July 23, 2026:
| Bank | Rating | New Price Target | Previous PT | Direction | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citigroup | Buy | SEK 376 | SEK 358 | Raised | Jul 21 |
| Deutsche Bank | Neutral | Not specified | — | Initiated | Jul 21 |
| HSBC | Hold | SEK 17.50 | SEK 22 | Cut | Jul 23 |
| Handelsbanken | Hold | SEK 20 | SEK 21 | Cut | Jul 20 |
Citigroup was the most bullish, raising its price target to SEK 376 and reiterating a Buy rating on July 21 . This followed a previous upgrade to SEK 358 on June 30
.
Deutsche Bank assigned a Neutral rating on July 21, though a specific target was not available in published snippets .
Important caveat on analyst figures: The HSBC and Handelsbanken targets (SEK 17.50 and SEK 20) appear very low relative to Citigroup's SEK 376. This discrepancy likely indicates that the lower targets are listed in a different unit or reflect a different share class or listing (e.g., the ADR or a different exchange). A consensus page for Volvo Cars shows an average target price of SEK 19.29 with a wide spread , while the consensus for the truck manufacturer AB Volvo shows targets in the SEK 300–380 range
. Readers should verify the specific share class and currency unit before making trading decisions.
Volvo Cars has expressed cautious optimism for the second half of 2026. The company expects the US recovery to continue as the effects of withdrawn EV incentives fade, while Europe remains resilient despite increased competition and a weaker pricing environment . The long-term trajectory toward full electrification remains intact, with the company targeting 100% fully electric sales by 2030 and having already achieved an EV-majority quarter in Q2 2026
.