ASML Holding is scheduled to release its third-quarter 2026 results on Wednesday, October 14. The company’s investor-relations site lists the release for 07:00 CET, while Yahoo Finance lists the earnings call for 9 a.m. EDT.
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16 Forecasts point to sales near €11.6 billion–€11.8 billion, within ASML’s guidance range, but estimates are not identical across providers.
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ASML Q3 results: schedule and company guidance
ASML says it expects Q3 net sales of €11 billion to €12 billion and a gross margin of 55% to 57%. The company also guided to full-year 2026 net sales of €43 billion to €45 billion.
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The official results page says the press release will be distributed at 07:00 CET on October 14, with the results materials posted shortly afterward. Yahoo Finance lists the investor call at 9 a.m. EDT.
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What analysts expect
Forecasts vary slightly by source, so the figures are best treated as estimates rather than a single definitive consensus:
- Sales: One preview puts Q3 revenue at €11.62 billion, while another gives a range of approximately €11.6 billion to €11.8 billion.
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- Gross profit and margin: MarketWatch cites a gross-profit forecast of €6.56 billion, compared with €3.88 billion a year earlier, and expects a gross margin close to 56%, versus 51.6% a year earlier.
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- Net income: Estimates include about €4.09 billion and €4.15 billion from different providers.
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One preview estimates sales growth of 55% year over year and 25% sequentially, but those growth rates are that provider’s forecast, not reported Q3 results.
2 The key comparison for investors is whether actual results and forward guidance meet or exceed expectations while staying within the company’s stated ranges.
Why bookings and outlook may matter as much as sales
Quarterly revenue reflects equipment and services recognized during the period. Investors also watch order commentary and demand expectations for clues about future business: earnings-week coverage describes ASML’s order commentary as a read on the semiconductor capital-spending cycle.
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AI-related demand is one important part of the setup. A preview links expected growth to demand for EUV lithography equipment and points to high-NA EUV adoption and customer investment as longer-term considerations.
6 That makes management’s discussion of demand and the ability to supply customers relevant alongside the headline sales number.
MarketWatch has framed a possible third increase to ASML’s full-year outlook as an earnings-preview question.
17 That is a possibility to watch, not a confirmed change. ASML’s stated full-year sales guidance remains €43 billion to €45 billion in the cited company guidance.
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Market expectations and the potential for volatility
A Benzinga preview reports that options pricing implied a 6.06% move around the results and cites a market capitalization of about $707 billion. Multiplying those figures gives roughly $42.8 billion—an illustration of the implied scale of a move, not a prediction of the direction or size of an actual price change.
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The practical takeaway: a revenue beat or miss is only part of the story. Investors will also be weighing orders, gross margin, and any changes to management’s outlook against the expectations already reflected in analyst forecasts and options pricing.