XRP briefly returned to a $100 billion market capitalization as its price broke above $1.60 and approached $1.65. Reports place the milestone on either September 22 or September 23, 2026, so its exact timing is unclear. The move combined a technical breakout with signs of fresh participation, but subsequent price snapshots show why crossing the threshold was not the same as holding it.
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Why did XRP rise?
Breaking $1.60 put XRP above a price it had not reached since early February. That move added pressure on bearish leveraged positions: traders closing shorts must buy back exposure, which can amplify an advance. Market analysis identified short-covering alongside the breakout as a contributor, though it does not establish how much of the rally came from forced buying rather than new demand.
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Activity on the XRP Ledger increased at the same time. Santiment-linked reporting counted 1,917 transactions worth at least $100,000 and 3,647 newly created wallets. Those figures show heavier large-transfer activity and network growth; they do not, by themselves, prove that every large transfer was a purchase or that new wallets will remain active.
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U.S. spot XRP exchange-traded funds supplied another demand signal. Reports citing CoinGlass put September 22 net inflows at $13.03 million after a day of zero inflows. One fund accounted for a reported 96% of that total, making it a positive but concentrated daily reading—not yet evidence of sustained, broad-based ETF demand.
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What would confirm—or undermine—the breakout?
XRP tested resistance near $1.65. A move through that area, followed by a pullback that holds around $1.60, would offer a stronger case that buyers have taken control of the former resistance zone. Falling quickly back below $1.60 would instead raise the possibility that the move was largely a short-lived squeeze. These are levels to monitor, not guaranteed price outcomes.
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The $100 billion milestone also needs perspective. One cited market snapshot put XRP’s 52-week high at $3.10, leaving a price around $1.60 roughly 48% below that mark. Another snapshot on September 23 showed XRP at about $1.52 with a market cap near $95.72 billion—an illustration of how briefly the $100 billion level could be held.
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Finally, the rally was a recovery amid broader uncertainty, not a response to new crypto-market legislation becoming law. The CLARITY Act had failed to advance in the Senate, while interest-rate developments remained part of the backdrop for risk assets. Continued ETF inflows and a successful retest of $1.60 would provide more persuasive evidence of durability than the initial short-covering alone.
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