Zverev: “No Chance” I’d Trade Olympic Gold for a Grand Slam, Now Two Wins From French Open Title

Quarterfinal win over Rafael Jodar

Zverev booked his semifinal spot with a 7‑6(3), 6‑1, 6‑3 victory over 19‑year‑old Spanish qualifier Rafael Jodar on Court Philippe‑Chatrier . The match was tighter than the scoreline suggests early on — Zverev trailed 5‑2 in the opening set before recovering to force a tiebreak and then took control . After winning the breaker, he dropped only four more games across the next two sets .

The win sends Zverev to his fifth Roland‑Garros semifinal in the last six years, a consistency that now makes him one of the most experienced players left in the draw .

How Sinner and Djokovic fell — and why it matters

The men’s draw has been decimated in ways rarely seen at a Grand Slam. The sequence of shocks began even before the tournament, when two‑time defending champion Carlos Alcaraz withdrew with injury . Then, in the second round, world No. 1 Jannik Sinner — who entered as a -300 betting favorite with a 30‑match winning streak — collapsed in five sets against Argentina’s Juan Manuel Cerundolo . Sinner became the first men’s top seed to lose in the second round or earlier since Andre Agassi in 2000 .

One day later, 24‑time major champion Novak Djokovic blew a two‑set lead and fell to 19‑year‑old Joao Fonseca in a nearly five‑hour thriller . The back‑to‑back losses meant that for the first time since 1968, no former Grand Slam champion reached the men’s round of 16 at a major .

Those exits completely reshaped the tournament. With Sinner and Djokovic gone, the 2026 French Open was guaranteed to produce a first‑time Grand Slam champion . In the betting markets, Zverev immediately shifted to +120 favorite , and coverage from India TV and the official Roland‑Garros site consistently named him the highest‑ranked seed left standing and the player to beat .

Why Zverev is the favorite to win his first major

Several factors align in Zverev’s favor heading into the semifinals and the June 7 final.

• Draw path: With no Grand Slam champion left in the field, the highest‑rated barrier has already been removed . Zverev’s semifinal opponent will be either Joao Fonseca (19) or Jakub Mensik (20), both playing in their first major semifinal .
• Clay‑court record: Zverev has reached at least the semifinals at Roland‑Garros in five of the last six years . He has lost three of his previous four semifinals in Paris and squandered a two‑sets‑to‑one lead against Alcaraz in the 2024 final, so the history is a mix of consistency and heartbreak — but the stage is now clearer than it has ever been .
• Betting sentiment: After Sinner’s exit, ESPN noted that Zverev “filled the favorite void” and moved to the top of the board . Bleacher Report had him at +190 immediately after Sinner’s loss .
• Mental framing: Zverev’s own words suggest he is approaching this moment without the desperation that often accompanies a first‑major chase. He has repeatedly said he focuses only on what he can control and rejects external narratives about the draw . That mindset — combined with the declared emotional security of already owning an Olympic gold — may remove some of the pressure that has haunted him in past major finals.

For a player who has lost three Grand Slam finals, the opportunity has never been more concrete. He is the highest‑ranked man left, the betting favorite, and the most experienced big‑match competitor in a draw full of first‑time semifinalists. Whether he finally lifts the Coupe des Mousquetaires on June 7 or not, Zverev has already made one thing clear: no matter what happens, the gold medal stays.