The Critical Threats Project at the Institute for the Study of War assessed that the warning was likely issued to prevent Pezeshkian from using the threat of resignation as leverage during negotiations over the Strait of Hormuz .
The power struggle is fundamentally about a single strategic question: should Iran negotiate with the United States to reopen the Strait of Hormuz?
As The Guardian reported on August 4, Pezeshkian was forced to deny claims that he had repeatedly threatened to resign as he battled hardline factions opposed to a settlement with the US over the Strait of Hormuz .
Kharrazi also claimed that Khamenei plans to replace Supreme National Security Council (SNSC) Secretary Mohammad-Bagher Zolghadr, a Pezeshkian appointee, with Mohsen Rezaei, a former IRGC commander and Khamenei's top military adviser . The SNSC is the body that coordinates Iran's national security and nuclear negotiating strategy.
Replacing Zolghadr with Rezaei would consolidate hardline control over the council, further reducing pragmatist influence over the regime's approach to the United States and the Strait of Hormuz crisis. Analysts saw the resignation warning and the planned SNSC replacement as a coordinated effort by Mojtaba Khamenei to sideline pragmatists from key decision-making .
These events took place during an unprecedented period for the Islamic Republic. Ali Khamenei was assassinated on February 28, 2026, at the beginning of the Iran war . Mojtaba Khamenei, his son, was elected as the new supreme leader by the Assembly of Experts on March 9, 2026
. He has not been seen in public since succeeding his father
.
The resignation leak and the push for a security-council shakeup are the most significant public signs of internal division under the new supreme leader, driven by the existential pressure of the ongoing conflict and the naval blockade.