Stronger-than-expected US payroll data shattered hopes for imminent rate relief. Markets rapidly repriced expectations toward a Federal Reserve that would keep rates elevated—or even hike again—under newly appointed hawkish Chair Kevin Warsh, crushing the appeal of speculative assets like crypto .
The suspension of US-Iran ceasefire talks and renewed threats to the Strait of Hormuz sent oil prices surging toward $100 a barrel . The resulting inflation risk not only reinforced the hawkish macro outlook but directly triggered a broad “risk-off” rotation away from crypto and into traditional safe havens
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Strategy Inc. (formerly MicroStrategy), the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, sold 32 BTC to cover dividend obligations—its first sale since 2022. The move was small in dollar terms but symbolically large, breaking the narrative that the company would never sell . Its stock fell 9% on the news, and the psychological damage rippled through the market
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Before the crash, Bitcoin’s futures market was a powder keg. The open-interest leverage ratio had climbed to dangerously high levels, with futures open interest at 2.63% of Bitcoin’s market cap on June 2 and the perpetual-futures version reaching 2.48%. When the price broke below the key $70,000 support on June 2, it triggered automatic liquidations of over-leveraged long positions
. These forced sales pushed the price lower, which triggered more liquidations, creating a self-reinforcing downward spiral.
Technically, Bitcoin lost its 200-day moving average and failed to find support at $65,000, $62,000, and finally $60,000. More than 50% of all BTC supply moved into unrealized loss—a condition that has historically marked major bear market bottoms .
The four-day cascade produced eye-watering liquidation figures. Because different data providers capture slightly different 24-hour windows and platforms, the exact numbers vary. The table below provides the reported ranges.
The heaviest toll fell on long positions. On June 5, for example, over $1.57 billion of the $1.75 billion total came from long liquidations—bets that the price would go up . Across the entire week, cumulative liquidations likely exceeded $5–6 billion.
Despite the scale of the drop, many analysts believe the bottom is not yet in.
Bitcoin’s downside risk:
Ethereum faces an even steeper path:
The macro picture remains treacherous. Oil-driven inflation risk, a hawkish Federal Reserve, and institutional selling that has yet to reverse—all the forces that caused the crash—are still in play. The $4.4 billion in ETF outflows has not been reclaimed . Until those pressures ease or a fresh catalyst emerges, the risk of further selloffs remains high for both Bitcoin and Ethereum.
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