But what actually caused this spike? There was no Shibarium announcement, no major exchange listing, and no protocol upgrade . Here is the full breakdown of what happened, who drove the rally, and how it fits into the broader market.
Multiple sources identify South Korean retail traders on exchanges Upbit and Bithumb as the engine of this rally:
While the Sunday spike itself lacked a single trigger, supportive on-chain dynamics had been building in the weeks prior — creating what analysts describe as a tinderbox of reduced sell-side liquidity :
Elevated burn activity: On July 8, SHIB saw its largest single-day burn in six months, with approximately 110–117 million tokens destroyed . Weekly burns rose roughly 56% to 152 million . However, these burns had not moved the price significantly at the time — SHIB was stuck near $0.0000043 even after the record burn .
Whale accumulation: Between June 25–29, 781 billion SHIB were withdrawn from exchanges to private wallets . Exchange outflows surged 37% in early July . On July 23, a 5.3% pump was attributed to "whale accumulation, shrinking exchange supply, and burn narratives" . A dormant whale bought 50.25 billion SHIB on Binance, ending an 8-month pause .
Prior depressed price: SHIB had been trading near $0.0000041–$0.0000043 for much of July, down roughly 9% over the previous month, with analysts flagging the $0.0000045 level as key resistance to confirm a trend change .
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Bitcoin range | ~$64,000 – $66,800 |
| Total crypto market cap | ~$2.28 trillion |
| Bitcoin dominance | ~56.4% |
| Dogecoin gains (same day) | ~6% |
| Smaller meme coins | +up to 10% |
The broader market showed only modest gains, meaning SHIB's 36% move was an idiosyncratic, meme-coin-specific spike, not a broad risk-on rally . DOGE lagged significantly, and smaller meme coins saw approximately 10% gains — confirming this was not a sector-wide phenomenon.
The rally occurred against a turbulent macro environment shaped by the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, which had been weighing on risk assets . Historically, July has been a mixed month for SHIB, averaging a negligible -0.25% . Analysts had warned that SHIB needed to break through $0.0000045 resistance to confirm a trend change and that its "July tradition of outperformance" was at risk . The Sunday surge blew past that level decisively.