For the first time, the mission confirmed that meteorite impact fluxes on the Moon's near and far sides are essentially consistent — something that was previously assumed but never directly tested . This finding means the steady-decline pattern is a global lunar phenomenon, not a local anomaly limited to one hemisphere
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Beyond the timing of impacts, the Chang'e-6 samples reveal a significant change in what was hitting the Moon. Chinese scientists discovered a transition in the types of asteroids striking the Earth-Moon system between 4.3 billion and 2.8 billion years ago: early bombardments were dominated by non-carbonaceous (ordinary chondrite) impactors, but carbonaceous (C-type) asteroids — similar to Ryugu and Bennu — began arriving later . Fragments of rare CI-type carbonaceous chondrites have been identified within the Chang'e-6 regolith, providing direct chemical evidence of this compositional shift
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The classic LHB hypothesis, rooted in the "Nice model," proposes that a sudden orbital rearrangement of the giant planets — Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, and Neptune — threw the asteroid belt into chaos, triggering a brief, intense pulse of impacts around 3.9 billion years ago . The Chang'e-6 data, however, support a smoothly decaying impact flux from the formation of the Moon onward, with no cataclysmic spike
. The detection of carbonaceous chondrite material also implies a different dynamical history for the asteroid belt than the one required by the classic LHB scenario
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"The lunar farside bombardment was not dominated by a cataclysmic spike," said Wanfeng Zhang, an engineer at the Guangzhou Institute of Geochemistry, in a report on the findings .
The Chang'e-6 samples represent the first ground-truth data from the lunar far side, and they paint a picture of a Solar System where bombardment tailed off gradually — not one punctuated by a late catastrophe. This does not disprove the LHB outright, but it removes the strongest empirical support for a sudden spike and favors an "accretion tail" model of declining impacts over hundreds of millions of years .
The Chang'e-6 mission has fundamentally reshaped our understanding of the Moon's — and the Solar System's — early history. What was once thought to be a violent, short-lived barrage now appears to have been a long, slow fade.