Jefferies issued a research note on June 22 maintaining a Buy rating on Nvidia (target $300) but acknowledged that supply chain signals from May onward made a Kyber delay or cancellation a "highly probable event" 1N.
As of the latest reporting, Nvidia has not issued a formal denial or confirmation of the delay. CNBC and other outlets explicitly note that Nvidia has not officially confirmed the reports and did not respond to requests for comment VCY. No public statement from the company denying the SemiAnalysis report was found in available sources.
Beyond the Kyber delay, SemiAnalysis outlined several other roadmap disruptions:
NVL72x2 Back-to-Back Architecture Canceled. SemiAnalysis reported that Nvidia's proposed alternative to Kyber — a back-to-back rack architecture connecting two Oberon racks — has been canceled FN. The firm stated that cloud service providers and hyperscalers "strongly opposed" the design due to its operational burden F.
Four-Die Rubin Ultra GPU Scrapped. On June 29-30, SemiAnalysis reported that the original quad-die Rubin Ultra GPU design (4 compute chiplets + 16 HBM4E modules in one package) had been canceled due to manufacturing execution concerns TBF. The replacement is a dual-die design roughly half the size and half the performance of the original TB. The root cause is reportedly TSMC's CoWoS-L packaging hitting a physical ceiling at the four-die scale, with its CoPoS successor not expected until late 2028 B.
NVL576 Likely Delayed or Limited. The larger NVL576 configuration, which connects eight Oberon racks via co-packaged optics (CPO) on NVSwitches, is also seen as likely delayed or restricted to low-volume shipments due to ongoing CPO challenges FN.
800VDC Power Architecture Delayed. Earlier in June, SemiAnalysis flagged that 800VDC power architecture shipments are now expected later than previously forecast B.
Asian PCB supply chain stocks fell broadly on July 6 following the SemiAnalysis report. Taiwan's Economic Daily News reported that shares across the Asian PCB supply chain declined, with Korea's NH Investment & Securities stating the region's tech weakness was "apparently affected by the SemiAnalysis report" N. The report noted that the combination of the Kyber delay, NVL72x2 cancellation, and Rubin Ultra downsizing "increases uncertainty in Nvidia's next-generation scaling roadmap" N.
Earlier (June 23), PCB manufacturers had already pushed back against rumors of Nvidia demanding 10% price cuts, calling them "exaggerated and misinterpreted" B.
Nvidia's Vera Rubin NVL144 platform (the current-generation Rubin system, using standard Rubin GPUs rather than Rubin Ultra) is on track or ahead of schedule:
In short: The current-generation Vera Rubin NVL144 is unaffected and shipping this year. The delays and cancellations are concentrated on the next generation: Kyber (rack), Rubin Ultra (GPU die configuration), and the NVL72x2/NVL576 scale-out paths.