Brazil reached the Round of 16 by defeating Japan 2-1 in the Round of 32. Gabriel Martinelli scored the winning goal in stoppage time to secure the victory . It marked the 11th consecutive World Cup in which Brazil has advanced to the Round of 16
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Norway beat Ivory Coast 2-1 in the Round of 32, with Erling Haaland scoring the game-winning goal in the 86th minute — a result that gave Norway its first knockout-round win in World Cup history . Norway finished second in Group I behind France after winning two of three group matches
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This is arguably the most striking head-to-head quirk in international football. Brazil and Norway have met four times in senior men's fixtures, and Norway has never lost . Norway leads the series with 2 wins and 2 draws in four meetings
. Brazil has scored 5 goals across those four matches while conceding 8
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Norway's 2-1 victory at the 1998 World Cup in France is the most famous of the four meetings. The result knocked Brazil — the reigning World Cup champion at the time — into a harder knockout path, while Norway advanced to the Round of 16 for the first time in its history .
Important caveat on sources: Several head-to-head databases report slightly different totals — one site claims five meetings with Brazil holding a 3-1-1 record , while the consensus among the most authoritative football-statistics sites (including worldfootball.net, 11v11.com, and WildStat) is four matches with Norway unbeaten
. The four-match, Norway-unbeaten record is the most widely cited and comes from the most specialized historical football-statistics sources.
Brazil enters as the market favorite, carrying the weight of five World Cup titles and the highest-priced squad in the tournament. The focus is on whether their attacking quality can justify that status in a knockout setting . Multiple sources highlight Vinícius Júnior as a key attacking threat for Brazil
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Norway is defined by Erling Haaland. The Manchester City striker scored the winner against Ivory Coast in the Round of 32 and is Norway's primary attacking reference point . ESPN betting analysts note Haaland as an anytime goal scorer at +115 odds heading into the Round of 16
."If they hadn't been watching European soccer this season, have learned through volume that Erling Haaland scores goals," wrote one Sporting News reporter
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Early Round of 16 odds across multiple sportsbooks consistently price Brazil as the clear favorite :
Brazil to win in regulation was offered at approximately 9/10 (or 17/20) at multiple bookmakers . Multiple tipsters noted that the over 2.5 goals market and both-teams-to-score bets provided better value than taking Brazil at odds-on to win in 90 minutes
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Norway's undefeated record against Brazil is the headline . The Seleção have never beaten Norway across four senior men's meetings, including the famous 1998 World Cup group-stage upset
. With Haaland leading Norway and Brazil favored by the market, this has the ingredients for a tense, high-stakes upset bid in the Round of 16
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