The ADUO Shock: Why Red Bull's Engine Win May Be a Loss

This outcome is ironic: through the first half of 2026, Mercedes has won every grand prix, while Red Bull has struggled for pace. Yet the FIA's data, isolated to the internal combustion engine alone, judged Red Bull's Ford V6 as superior .

Laurent Mekies' Response: 'We Don't See the Data'

Red Bull team principal Laurent Mekies has taken a measured but firm public stance. He has been careful to support the ADUO rule itself while directly challenging the FIA's conclusion.

No objection to the principle. Mekies told Sky Sports: "We are completely with the fact that the rule states that you should only try to estimate the pecking order of the ICE… we have completely no issue with that" .

Disputes the methodology. Mekies insists Red Bull's own internal data shows no ICE advantage over Mercedes. He told Motorsport: "To correctly award concessions that matter that much, you need to be comfortable that the data you have truly separates performance from the many, many other factors" .

Calls for evidence. Red Bull says it cannot find "one single data sample" that its power unit leads Mercedes . Mekies has publicly challenged the FIA: "Where we certainly would like to have a deeper conversation is because we do not see one single data sample that indicates that we would have an advantage over others" .

Cautious tone on the ruling's finality. Earlier, he said "It's still a bit early for congratulations," noting the information was "subject to change from the FIA" .

Max Verstappen also weighed in, saying he was "confused" by the ruling given Mercedes' on-track dominance .

The Status of the FIA Review — Will It Change Anything?

Red Bull formally requested a review immediately after the Monaco announcement . Here is where things stand:

• As of late June 2026, The Race reports the FIA is ready to offer Red Bull a detailed explanation of how the benchmark was calculated, but there is no indication the analysis will change .
• Sky Sports confirmed the FIA is "reviewing engine findings" after Red Bull raised its concerns, but the governing body's position has not shifted .
• Multiple sources describe intense behind-closed-doors discussions with no breakthrough expected .

Short answer: the review is ongoing, but the ruling is very likely to stand.

Competitive Risks for Red Bull Through 2027

If the ADUO ruling holds, Red Bull faces a multi-season competitive disadvantage:

Development Freeze

Red Bull cannot introduce any performance upgrades to its ICE under ADUO until at least the next assessment period. Every rival can .

Rivals Close the Gap

Mercedes gets one upgrade now and another in 2027. Ferrari, Audi, and Honda get two each. If those upgrades are effective, Red Bull's ICE advantage could be eroded or erased .

Chassis vs. Engine Mismatch

Red Bull's chassis is widely believed to be behind Mercedes. Losing the engine edge — their one apparent advantage — would leave them with no clear path to catch up .

Cost-Cap Relief Denied

ADUO-eligible manufacturers also receive increased cost-cap allowances and extra test-bench hours for upgrade work. Red Bull does not .

Multi-Season Consequences

The ADUO system runs through 2030. Being the benchmark in the first period means Red Bull is locked out of catch-up help while every rival gets development tokens for at least two years .

The result is a paradox: the FIA's data says Red Bull's engine is best, but the practical effect is to make Red Bull's competitive position more fragile. If the team cannot improve its ICE and its rivals can, Red Bull will need to find chassis or reliability gains elsewhere — or hope the FIA's data eventually shifts in its favor.