Bitcoin briefly broke above $87,000 on Oct. 2 after a weak U.S. jobs report, but the rally reversed; by Oct. 3 it was reported near $84,600. The jobs data improved the case for an October Fed pause, but it did not remove selling pressure or the risk of another rate hike later in the year.
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- Jobs and rates: September payrolls rose by just 29,000, helping push Treasury yields down initially and reducing expectations of an October hike.
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4 The Fed had raised its target rate by 0.25 percentage point to 3.75%–4.00% in September; its next meeting is Oct. 27–28.
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- Liquidations and leverage: The reversal reportedly forced about $433.6 million in crypto-derivatives positions closed over 24 hours, amplifying the drop.
14 Earlier short liquidations had helped fuel the climb, while a pre-rally Bitfinex assessment found aggregate futures open interest already at its lowest since March—evidence of reduced leverage, not proof that liquidation risk was gone.
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- Selling and price levels: Analysts reported whale profit-taking and a cluster of sell orders around $87,000.
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11 The immediate test was whether Bitcoin could regain roughly $85,000–$86,500; around $82,500 was a cited lower support area. These are watched levels, not guaranteed floors or ceilings.
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- Demand and outlook: ETF signals were mixed: reports noted renewed buying around the rally, but Bitfinex said inflows had slowed enough that a sustained advance would need stronger spot demand.
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8 Elevated Treasury yields remained a competing draw for investors. The weak jobs report made an October pause more plausible, while Reuters reported that a later hike remained possible—leaving Bitcoin’s outlook dependent on durable buying and incoming inflation and employment data.
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