China’s humanoid-robot industry is moving from choreographed demonstrations into narrow, supervised jobs, not yet into a general-purpose workforce. Parcel sorting, phone packing, some assembly-line work and hotel deliveries show a path to commercial use; healthcare and eldercare remain more aspirational, where reliability and safety matter especially much. Large-scale adoption beyond pilots has not yet arrived.
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Bubble risk is therefore real, but a sector-wide collapse is not inevitable. The most plausible survivors are firms that can turn pilots into repeat, independently paid deployments, gather data from those deployments, meet safety requirements and control costs—not simply those with the best demos, largest orders or highest valuations. Unitree has an unusual profitability advantage; which other companies will clear that test remains uncertain.
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