For now, Israel remains on the sidelines of the US-Iran conflict but maintains forces on high alert for potential escalation. Israeli officials have reportedly concluded that US diplomacy is a dead end and are now preparing to act independently . According to Israeli Channel 13, the military is continuing preparations for potential independent operations against Iran, keeping the option open even if Washington decides to step back .
Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Dan Caine has privately urged senior Trump administration officials to find an "off-ramp" from the Iran war, warning that the available military escalation options could backfire and that airpower alone is unlikely to achieve the president's stated objectives . Multiple sources describe Caine as "looking for an off-ramp" to end the six-month conflict .
Caine has discussed his concerns with CIA Director John Ratcliffe, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Vice President JD Vance in an effort to align interagency views . He specifically raised concerns that intensifying combat operations could dangerously deplete the Pentagon's already diminished stockpile of Patriot antimissile interceptors and other air defense munitions in the Middle East .
The general's private warnings emerged as President Trump appeared to believe that more airstrikes could force a deal. Caine's position represents a significant brake on further escalation from within the US military leadership .
Iran and Oman have reached an understanding on the geographic coordinates for a shipping route through the Strait of Hormuz, and a joint announcement is being finalized — provided certain third parties do not obstruct it . According to NPR and Iranian state media, the proposed deal would ban US and Israeli vessels from passing through the strait and impose fines of up to 20% of cargo value on violators .
However, Iran has said the deal alone is not enough to reopen the waterway; the US must also meet additional conditions and compensate Iran . The arrangement is described as a temporary route lasting two to four months, contingent on changes in US policy . Iran's deputy foreign minister said the agreement would not automatically reopen the strait, and the United States must meet additional conditions before vessels can transit freely .
The proposed deal would give Iran authority over ships entering the Gulf through the Strait of Hormuz, marking a significant concession to Tehran . A senior Iranian source told Reuters that the agreement would mean the war launched by the US and Israel in February had resulted in a major shift in the balance of regional power in Iran's favor .
Israeli officials have repeatedly stated they will not accept a US-Iran deal that permits Iran to retain or rebuild its ballistic missile and nuclear capabilities. Netanyahu has declared: "With an agreement or without an agreement, as long as I am prime minister, I will do everything to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon" .
Israeli sources have expressed fear that the Trump administration may reach a limited deal that curbs only Iran's nuclear program while leaving its missile arsenal and regional proxy networks intact — an outcome Israel considers unacceptable . The Israeli position is that any negotiations with Iran must include rolling back its ballistic missile program and its ability to support regional militants .
The June 2026 US-Iran memorandum of understanding contained no restrictions on Iran's ballistic missiles, despite Netanyahu's insistence that such provisions be included . This gap between US and Israeli positions has fueled Israel's drive to prepare for independent action.
The convergence of these four dynamics creates an extremely volatile situation. The US is simultaneously seeking a diplomatic off-ramp while its top military commander warns of resource constraints. Iran is negotiating from a position of relative strength, leveraging control of the Strait of Hormuz. And Israel is signaling it will act alone if it believes US diplomacy is producing a deal that leaves Iran's strategic capabilities intact. Whether the Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement holds, whether the US can broker a broader ceasefire, and whether Israel ultimately launches unilateral strikes are all open questions that will shape the Middle East for years to come.