What drove the surge: The U.S.-Iran war pushed oil and gas prices sharply higher. Brent crude averaged $103.9 per barrel in Q2 2026, up from $81.1 in Q1 . Refining margins (RIM) nearly doubled to $29.6 per barrel . Higher oil realizations alone boosted earnings by $1.8 billion–$2.1 billion . BP also benefited from strong oil trading performance and higher refining margins .
Offsetting factors: The same conflict also disrupted BP's operations. Upstream plant reliability fell to 92.4%, down from 95.7% in Q1, due to planned maintenance and Middle East disruptions . Upstream production declined 6% quarter-over-quarter . The company flagged about $1 billion in impairments, mostly related to transition businesses . BP also cut its production and capex outlook .
"Our plants didn't run as well as they did last quarter," BP's management acknowledged — a reminder that the war giveth and the war taketh away .
O'Neill became BP's fifth CEO on April 1, 2026, and she has moved fast . Her changes mark a sharp departure from predecessor Bernard Looney's rapid green-transition strategy . Here are the key moves:
O'Neill dismantled BP's complex multi-unit structure and created two streamlined divisions:
The separate "low carbon energy" unit was eliminated, and renewables were shrunk into "other businesses and corporate" . The reorganization began in June 2026 .
This is the most symbolic change. BP's renewable energy business — once the centerpiece of Looney's "net zero by 2050" ambition — was folded into other operations, signaling a clear pivot back to hydrocarbons .
O'Neill told investors BP needs to make "fewer and better" choices and tighten spending . The company raised its dividend by 4% and accelerated divestments, targeting net debt of $14 billion–$18 billion .
She reshaped the leadership team, bringing in new executives to execute her vision . The board itself also saw departures, reigniting questions about governance .
In a move O'Neill said "wasn't made lightly," BP exited the North Sea entirely .
O'Neill's message is clear: BP is no longer trying to be everything to everyone. By dropping the "supermajor" label, she is lowering the bar for comparison — and asking investors to judge BP on its own progress, not against the scale of Exxon or Chevron. The Q2 windfall from the Middle East war buys her time and cash flow to execute her turnaround. But the operational disruptions and impairments are a reminder that volatility cuts both ways. The bet now is that a simpler, leaner, oil-focused BP can deliver — even if it no longer calls itself a supermajor.