So what changed? The answer lies in two developments: a tariff deal that protected VW's own Chinese imports, and a regulatory loophole that let Chinese brands race past its best-selling model.
In 2024, Volkswagen was vulnerable to broad EU tariffs. The company produces the Cupra Tavascan and other EVs at its Chinese factories for export to Europe, so across-the-board duties would have directly hit its own imports . VW's brand leader Thomas Schäfer warned that tariff hikes could lead to "retaliation" against global brands operating in China
.
By February 2026, the European Commission accepted a VW price-commitment deal. Under this arrangement, VW's Chinese-built battery electric vehicles (BEVs) were exempted from tariffs in exchange for a minimum import price and a sales quota . The move created a precedent for model-specific tariff exemptions
.
Once VW's own imports were protected, the downside of higher tariffs on competitors disappeared.
The EU's 2024 tariffs targeted battery electric vehicles (BEVs), not plug-in hybrids. Chinese automakers exploited this gap aggressively . By mid-2026, the results were stark:
Multiple reports note that VW pushed to keep the original EU tariffs soft enough that Chinese PHEVs could continue entering Europe at low rates . The Autowire reported that "eighteen months ago, its own lobbying helped make sure the last round of tariffs came in soft enough for Chinese brands to keep winning anyway"
. That decision backfired once Chinese brands overtook VW's own models.
Volkswagen faces severe cost pressure. The company has threatened to close four German factories, including the all-electric Zwickau plant in Saxony . Germany's economy minister in Saxony, Dirk Panter, explicitly linked higher tariffs to protecting VW's domestic production base
. With internal cost-cutting proving painful and slow, tariff protection has become a more attractive short-term option.
The EU was already preparing tariffs on Chinese plug-in hybrids by June 2026, aiming to close the loophole that let brands like BYD sidestep electric-car duties . The European Commission has established a framework allowing automakers to voluntarily limit EV exports from China in exchange for tariff relief
. Whether VW's late reversal will be enough to slow the Chinese advance remains an open question.