The warning came from Ukrainian and allied (U.S./European) intelligence agencies . The initial warning was issued the evening of July 24, covering the window of July 25–26 . Zelenskyy also added that Russia is preparing a "significant new wave of mobilization" for the autumn, noting that "the Russians are losing more troops on the front than they are recruiting, yet Putin is still planning to intensify the attacks" .
The warning proved prescient. By Friday, July 25, Russian missile strikes on the Kyiv region killed at least 10 people and injured around 100 more . Reports indicated the strikes hit an arms exhibition where representatives of the Ukrainian defense industry were present . This fast validation underscored the seriousness of Zelenskyy's intelligence-driven alert.
Zelenskyy accused Moscow of actively assisting Iran's campaign against U.S. forces in the Middle East by sharing satellite intelligence . His specific allegation: "Since the beginning of July, we have recorded active Russian satellite surveillance of the Gulf states and U.S. military facilities located there. These images are being passed to Iran to enable it to direct strikes in the region." He said Ukraine will share the evidence with its international partners, including the United States .
The timing of the accusation dovetailed with events on the ground. On Friday, July 25, Iran claimed new drone strikes against U.S. military facilities in Bahrain, Jordan, and Kuwait, and explosions were reported near a base hosting U.S. forces in northern Iraq .
Several data points corroborate Zelenskyy's claim:
Zelenskyy's warnings came at a moment of high diplomatic activity. Ukraine was preparing for a meeting with President Donald Trump and his team to seek greater international support . At the same time, the U.S. was actively engaged in a widening confrontation with Iran, with Oman mediating talks on reopening the Strait of Hormuz .
The warnings also highlighted the deepening military partnership between Russia and Iran. This partnership spans both the Ukraine theater (where Iran supplies drones and missiles to Russia) and the Middle East theater (where Russia provides satellite reconnaissance for Iran's anti-U.S. operations) .
Both of Zelenskyy's warnings on Friday — the impending massive Russian missile strike on Ukraine and Russia feeding satellite imagery to Iran to target U.S. bases in the Gulf — are well-sourced from Ukrainian intelligence and partner agencies . The missile strike warning was partially validated within hours by a fresh attack on the Kyiv region that killed at least 10 people . The Iran allegation is supported by documented prior cases (Prince Sultan Air Base in March 2026) and concurrent Iranian strikes on U.S. facilities on the same day .