Gulf Energy Infrastructure After the Iran War: Pipeline Boom, China's Buying Pause, and the End of Hormuz Dependency
Goldman Sachs projects pipeline bypass capacity will protect over 60% of pre war Persian Gulf oil exports from Strait of Hormuz disruptions by end 2028, rising by 7.3 million barrels per day cumulatively through $30–4... China's seaborne crude imports fell to roughly half of pre war levels (5.84 million bpd in June...
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The U.S.-Iran conflict that began in early 2026 has triggered the most aggressive re-engineering of Gulf energy export infrastructure in decades. Facing a near-total blockade of the Strait of Hormuz—a chokepoint that normally carries roughly one-fifth of the world's oil and LNG supply—Gulf producers are racing to build and expand pipeline bypass routes at a cost of $30–48 billion. The structural shift is so profound that Goldman Sachs now expects Hormuz flows may never fully recover to pre-war levels . This article provides a fact-checked breakdown of the key developments, from specific pipeline projects and Goldman's projections to China's role as an accidental buffer and the new
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Goldman Sachs projects pipeline bypass capacity will protect over 60% of pre war Persian Gulf oil exports from Strait of Hormuz disruptions by end 2028, rising by 7.3 million barrels per day cumulatively through $30–4...
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Goldman Sachs projects pipeline bypass capacity will protect over 60% of pre war Persian Gulf oil exports from Strait of Hormuz disruptions by end 2028, rising by 7.3 million barrels per day cumulatively through $30–4... China's seaborne crude imports fell to roughly half of pre war levels (5.84 million bpd in June 2026, dropping to 5.31 million bpd in July), creating a temporary global supply buffer.
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The conflict has triggered a permanent structural shift in Gulf energy strategy, described by analysts as a 'diversify at any cost' approach.