In the early hours of June 18, 2026, Ukraine launched a coordinated drone offensive targeting Moscow with nearly 200 unmanned aerial vehicles. Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin reported that Russian air defenses intercepted 194 drones approaching the capital, but several struck the city's main oil refinery in the southeastern Kapotnya district . The Gazprom Neft-operated facility, located about 15 kilometers from central Moscow, sustained damage to its combined Euro+ oil refining unit, auxiliary power units, inter-unit pipelines, and storage tanks
. The attack left 17 people injured across five districts of the Moscow region, including two children
. Flights at all major Moscow airports were temporarily suspended
.
This was the second strike on the same refinery in a week — an earlier attack on June 16 had already damaged a primary processing unit that represented 53% of the plant's total capacity .
The day after the Moscow drone attack, on June 19, 2026, Russia intensified bombardments across Ukraine, killing three people including an eight-year-old girl, according to Ukrainian officials . Between late Thursday and early Friday, Russian forces deployed 90 drones targeting various locations in Ukraine
. It was a rapid reprisal consistent with a broader pattern observed throughout 2025–2026.
This cycle of attack and retaliation has defined the conflict's trajectory. After a major Ukrainian drone attack on Russian airbases in early June 2025, Russia launched a massive drone and missile assault on Kyiv and other regions that killed five people and injured 80 . In November 2025, a Russian barrage killed eight people (six in Kyiv, two in the south) and focused on energy infrastructure
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The human toll has escalated dramatically. UN monitors reported that civilian deaths and injuries in the first five months of 2025 were nearly 50% higher than the same period in 2024, with April 2025 recording 1,389 casualties (221 killed, 1,168 injured) — the highest monthly total of the war at that time . A separate Russian strike on September 28, 2025, killed four people including a 12-year-old girl
.
Russian strikes have systematically targeted Ukrainian energy infrastructure. The November 2025 attack specifically hit energy facilities , and the pattern continued through 2026. On May 13–14, 2026, Russia conducted what was described as its largest aerial attack since the invasion, launching 1,567 drones and 56 missiles at multiple Ukrainian cities, killing 27 civilians — 24 of them in Kyiv — and injuring 75 more
.
The war has also inflicted significant damage on commercial shipping in the Black Sea, a critical artery for Ukrainian grain exports and global food supply.
On December 30, 2025, Russia attacked port facilities and civilian ships in the Odesa region, striking two Panama-flagged vessels — Emmakris III and Captain Karam — using drones . This followed a December 23, 2025 attack that damaged port infrastructure and a civilian cargo ship, as well as a warehouse
.
Russia has repeatedly targeted Odesa's port infrastructure throughout 2025, hitting grain storage and civilian facilities, with attacks intensifying after Moscow withdrew from the UN-sponsored Black Sea Grain Initiative in 2023 . The attacks prompted a warning from Russia that cargo ships on the Black Sea destined for Ukraine would be considered potential military targets
.
Ukraine has struck back at Russian naval assets. On November 29, 2025, Ukraine claimed responsibility for hitting two Russian "shadow fleet" tankers, the Kairos and Virat, using Sea Baby naval drones equipped with enhanced warheads . In retaliation, Russia later launched a Shahed kamikaze drone at the Turkish-owned cargo ship CENK-T in Chornomorsk port
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Following the June 18, 2026 drone attack on Moscow, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov stated that Moscow would carry out regular "massive group strikes" against Ukraine, noting that President Putin had previously ordered an increase in the intensity of shelling . Lavrov told reporters: "It is no coincidence that the president announced some time ago, after yet another Kyiv terrorist attack, that we will now conduct massive group strikes on a regular basis against targets whose condition directly affects the combat readiness of the Ukrainian Armed Forces"
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Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov confirmed on June 2, 2026, that Russian forces were conducting "systematic strikes" against Ukrainian military infrastructure in Kyiv and other cities . Russia has consistently framed its retaliatory strikes as responses to what it calls Ukrainian "terrorist acts" against targets inside Russia
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The conflict has evolved into a grinding war of attrition with no end in sight.
Daily drone warfare on Moscow: By early 2026, Russia reported that Ukraine was targeting Moscow with drone strikes every single day — a significant escalation from earlier, less frequent assaults . On January 4, 2026, Russia stated that 57 drones had been neutralized in the Moscow area alone in a 24-hour period, part of a total of 437 drones downed across the country
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Record-scale attacks on both sides: On May 17, 2026, Ukraine launched one of its largest drone offensives of the year, killing at least four people across Russia, including three in the Moscow region, with 556 Ukrainian drones intercepted or shot down by Russian defenses . Just days earlier, on May 13–14, Russia had conducted its own largest aerial attack
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War of attrition at massive scale: Overall, the war has inflicted nearly 56,000 civilian casualties, with 3.7 million people internally displaced and 5.9 million registered as refugees . Ukrainian attacks on Russian energy infrastructure have caused fuel shortages inside Russia, while Ukraine's own energy grid remains a persistent target
.
The conflict has become a mutual deep-strike campaign: Ukraine systematically targets Russian energy infrastructure and refineries to cut Moscow's war revenue, while Russia pounds Ukrainian cities, ports, and energy grids with drones and missiles . Neither side shows signs of backing down.
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