Regional divergence
Not all Asian markets matched the highs. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was flat . China and Hong Kong indexes were more subdued—the Hang Seng retreated—while India's Sensex held steady above 24,000 without a record
. Taiwan's Taiex rose to an intraday high, touching 46,565.70
. The broad rally was concentrated in export-oriented, tech-heavy markets
.
U.S. stock indexes closed sharply higher on June 18, led by semiconductor shares and optimism about the U.S.-Iran deal .
The Dow's modest gain contrasted sharply with the tech-driven advance, reflecting a narrow rally powered by chip makers .
Intel was the standout U.S. mover, soaring 10.6% to a record close of $133.99 after President Donald Trump announced that Apple had agreed to work with Intel to design and manufacture semiconductors in the U.S. .
In South Korea, Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix led the KOSPI's surge. Jefferies noted the two stocks had surged 798% from their 500-day low, surpassing the 717% rise seen during the IT bubble . SK Hynix's market valuation had already crossed $1 trillion in late May amid soaring demand for high-bandwidth memory chips used in AI servers
.
Sector leadership: Technology and semiconductor shares dominated across both regions. The AI chip trade reignited alongside peace-deal optimism, while energy stocks and oil prices fell sharply on expectations of reopened Strait of Hormuz shipping routes . Oil prices slid to their lowest levels since early March
.
1. U.S.-Iran interim peace deal
On June 18, the presidents of the United States and Iran signed an interim peace agreement, extending the April ceasefire by another 60 days and setting the stage for negotiations on a final truce and the fate of Iran's nuclear program . The deal lowered geopolitical risk, reopened the Strait of Hormuz for oil shipments, and reduced inflation fears, providing a broad lift to risk assets
.
2. AI and semiconductor rally
The semiconductor sector was already in a historic uptrend: the PHLX Semiconductor Index had recorded its best performance for the initial 100 trading days of any year in history . The Intel-Apple deal added fuel on June 18, reinforcing the AI-driven demand narrative for chips and memory
.
Thursday's session was defined by twin catalysts that drove a powerful but narrow rally. The Nikkei topping 71,000 and the KOSPI breaking 9,000 were historic firsts. In the U.S., the Nasdaq and S&P 500 hit new records. Yet the divergence between tech-heavy indexes and the Dow, and between Asia's tech exporters and its broader markets, suggests the rally was concentrated in chip makers and AI beneficiaries rather than reflecting broad economic strength .
Investors also continued to price in interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve in 2026—under new Chair Kevin Warsh—a factor that kept some cyclical sectors in check .
Comments
0 comments