The political opposition is amplified by powerful industry voices. BusinessEurope, the EU’s leading business lobby, published a position paper on May 29, 2026, demanding the transition be driven “through incentives rather than mandates” and calling for full technology neutrality instead of a de facto push toward battery-electric vehicles .
Automakers have been equally direct. BMW Group released a policy paper arguing the mandates “miss the mark” and would effectively ban internal combustion engine vehicles by 2030, regardless of consumer demand or market reality . In December 2025, BMW and Toyota joined a coalition of 67 leasing, rental, and fleet companies in a letter to Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, calling mandatory EV purchase targets “cripplingly expensive and counterproductive” [2, 14].
A broader set of industry associations—including AECC, IRU, CLEPA, and FuelsEurope—has also voiced support for incentive-based, technology-neutral approaches and for exempting leasing companies and SMEs from the regulation’s scope .
The legislative process is entering a critical phase:
The Council must adopt the regulation by qualified majority voting: 55% of member states (15 out of 27) representing at least 65% of the EU’s population. A blocking minority can be formed by just four countries representing 35% of the population. The nine-country coalition, which includes large member states Poland and Italy, already surpasses that threshold .
This means the Commission has no path to adoption without making significant concessions. The most likely outcome is a shift away from binding national mandates toward a more flexible framework that emphasizes incentives, infrastructure support, and longer transition timelines. Without such changes, the regulation cannot secure the required majority.
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