The growth is driven almost entirely by AI. The power demand from AI-specific data centers is expected to be 11 times higher in 2030 than it was in 2023. At that point, AI workloads alone will require as much electricity as all conventional data centers consume today, making AI a primary force behind energy demand in the entire data infrastructure sector .
This spike in energy use carries a heavy carbon cost. The report projects that by 2030, AI data centers will emit an additional 24 to 44 million metric tons of CO₂ annually . To put that in context, the upper end of that estimate is the emissions equivalent of adding 10 million cars to U.S. roadways
. Other characterizations in the report’s coverage compare total data center emissions to the entire annual emissions of the United Kingdom, potentially reaching 400 million tonnes of CO₂ equivalent
.
These emissions are projected to rise even under the assumption of a carbon-neutral electricity supply by 2040, highlighting the sheer scale of AI's expanding energy demand .
While much public discussion centers on electricity and carbon, the report emphasizes that water is a critically overlooked resource. The water required to cool the servers running complex AI models is immense.
In the United States alone, the deployment of AI servers is projected to consume between 731 and 1,125 million cubic meters of water per year by 2030—roughly equal to the annual household water usage of 6 to 10 million Americans . On a global scale, the water footprint becomes staggering. The report finds that AI’s total water consumption in 2030 will be equivalent to the basic annual domestic water needs of 1.3 billion people in sub-Saharan Africa
.
The environmental cost of the AI boom doesn’t end with operational resources. The report highlights two more critical dimensions of its footprint:
The UNU-INWEH report is not just a catalog of problems; it is a policy call to action. It warns that the true cost of AI extends across the entire lifecycle, and that this cost is being distributed unjustly, with developing nations bearing a disproportionate share of the environmental burdens while often seeing fewer of the economic benefits .
The report’s central demand is for mandatory, standardized environmental reporting.
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