Senior executives at Anthropic, OpenAI and other AI companies are reportedly gaming out not only a catastrophic AI-related incident, but also the public and political response that could follow. Axios describes the feared event as most likely a large-scale cyberattack that disrupts financial services, internet access, electricity or water. This is contingency planning—not proof that such an event is imminent or inevitable.
1
2
7
What companies are reportedly preparing for
The reported exercises look beyond the immediate technical response to the “day after”: how the companies, the AI industry and policymakers might respond if AI were linked to serious real-world harm. Axios says executives are also focused on educating members of Congress. Other accounts of the reporting describe worst-case scenario red-teaming, or testing defenses by simulating an attack.
17
21
38
The timeline should be treated cautiously. Secondary reports say some industry insiders expect a major event within six to 12 months, but that is an attributed forecast—not a verified prediction or a statement that the companies consider a disaster certain.
3
5 OpenAI says its preparedness exercises cover a range of scenarios and that it does not treat them as inevitable.
6
Why a cyberattack is the central scenario
Axios identifies a cyberattack as the likeliest trigger and lists possible disruptions to banking, internet connectivity, power and water. The available excerpts do not explain why executives rank cyberattacks above other catastrophic risks; they establish the scenario being considered, not the reasoning behind that ranking.
1
2
7
There are also reported examples of attackers using AI tools. Forbes described a Chinese-speaking hacker using AI agents, including tools associated with DeepSeek, Kimi and Anthropic, in attacks on as many as 100 organizations. Axios separately reported that an attacker used Claude Code to seek help finding places to sell stolen data, citing CrowdStrike. These accounts describe tools used in an alleged criminal campaign; they do not establish that the systems independently chose to attack or that the campaign caused the kind of infrastructure outage executives fear.
17
35
The political risk is part of the planning
Axios says executives fear that the first significant real-world harm attributed to unsafe AI could deepen public distrust of the technology and its leaders, including Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei and OpenAI CEO Sam Altman. The report also names President Trump, citing his reluctance to regulate AI. That is a forecast of how a crisis might affect trust and politics, not evidence that a backlash has already occurred.
7
17
The reported effort to educate Congress suggests companies are thinking about how lawmakers might respond after a crisis. But the available reporting does not establish which laws companies want, what specific policies they are advocating, or whether Congress would adopt them.
17
21
What the reporting does—and does not—establish
Anthropic declined to comment in the coverage, but the available material does not give a reason.
30
31 And while the reports describe private scenario planning and OpenAI’s preparedness exercises, they do not show whether any proposed safeguard would work in a real emergency.
That leaves practical questions for policymakers and the public: Who could stop an AI system during an incident? Would incident reporting and testing be mandatory? Who would be accountable if an AI agent caused harm? And how could independent reviewers verify that a company’s safeguards work?
The central takeaway is narrower than the most dramatic predictions: leading AI companies are reportedly planning for a severe incident and its aftermath, while the evidence provided does not establish that one is inevitable—or that the plans answer the hard questions of control, accountability and enforcement.
1
6
7